Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 76521.160479 80831.942284 85144.391741 89779.093498 94616.059857 99512.060333 104839.256670
2025-05-04 69603.626423 76204.687513 82995.798878 90494.829848 98533.499755 106882.131471 116198.220969
2025-05-11 64248.378616 72375.544178 80923.994122 90565.779283 101117.694710 112294.128762 125006.370238
2025-05-18 60224.633217 69490.892572 79420.054141 90817.943362 103506.074951 117162.433365 132937.405727
2025-05-25 56844.668082 66995.339926 78051.029097 90938.303996 105497.494843 121385.085953 139981.172661
2025-06-01 54611.293656 65585.653863 77712.165824 92039.506412 108435.203028 126541.936230 147977.963561
2025-06-08 51908.039725 63462.330367 76405.027603 91891.627984 109828.231450 129857.748713 153820.687974
2025-06-15 50392.545897 62605.947284 76455.118699 93214.335152 112832.574509 134955.198673 161667.391517
2025-06-22 48718.874713 61463.926065 76085.516793 93970.034875 115117.175168 139184.200625 168496.168952
2025-06-29 46832.958562 59975.078010 75223.843004 94069.436434 116569.392982 142402.316899 174124.934969
2025-07-06 45065.358224 58547.761014 74362.110462 94100.605667 117883.977898 145418.654447 179494.173030
2025-07-13 44134.806502 58091.848120 74624.461405 95443.682299 120736.586671 150237.344423 186998.739911
2025-07-20 43177.708918 57578.535924 74804.714703 96689.689635 123494.743362 154989.095934 194501.654186
2025-07-27 41964.231487 56698.726216 74497.841483 97310.756101 125479.374584 158816.766230 200922.307575
2025-08-03 40546.777159 55507.617640 73758.188558 97355.577103 126727.374182 161738.532211 206250.125880
2025-08-10 39320.056993 54513.136059 73222.329006 97616.266646 128212.344884 164931.641428 211906.682075
2025-08-17 38103.641285 53487.660044 72607.759184 97742.409904 129502.798557 167871.662577 217253.751308
2025-08-24 37429.352362 53140.265019 72831.394308 98909.487514 132084.028087 172399.974140 224569.572498
2025-08-31 36206.435049 52030.299780 72041.333520 98752.657966 132974.973674 174825.511608 229290.023049
2025-09-07 35721.970679 51880.662218 72475.361589 100154.681188 135836.144653 179707.822539 237083.418962
2025-09-14 35009.233311 51399.561742 72456.765891 100955.603530 137923.643055 183626.725325 243694.110154
2025-09-21 34043.285052 50545.480411 71921.835146 101060.947908 139102.590006 186397.218495 248871.413349
2025-09-28 33093.045252 49683.602386 71350.065672 101093.980444 140170.191660 189018.120338 253863.376320